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Understanding and predicting conditions

publication date: Oct 1, 2012
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Some people seem luckier than others. Luck is a label we use when unpredictable things go our way. It’s not an external force, it’s a combination of being better prepared and then serendipity — the chance alignment of uncontrollable conditions with our hopes. Practice at a skill narrows the odds so that the probability of success is higher. Predicting future conditions includes getting as good as possible at understanding current conditions and extrapolating — doing the mental exercise of estimating what is most likely to follow.

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